Well, the other day, the frecast called for 8"-12" of snow here tomorrow.
Now the forecast for tomorrow looks like:
Saturday April 7th, 2018: 45% chance of rain overnight, dropping to 15% by mid-morning, mostly cloudy, with a high of 43F/6.1C and an overnight low of 26F/-3.3C, with winds fromt eh NNW at 9mph/15kph.

Ym, yeah, *that* forecast I'll believe.

__________________
On the kinkometer, my kink measures as a sine wave.